Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Los Angeles Chargers		New England Patriots

	1	2
	1.52	2.67	Watch
	1.44	2.9
	1.52	2.7
	1.51	2.55
	1.54	2.64
	1.54	2.65
	1.53	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)	2.68 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Chargers
63.9%

New England Patriots
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Chargers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles Chargers's form might have worsened.

New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Patriots's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Chargers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	0%	45.8%

Los Angeles Chargers - New England Patriots Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. LA Chargers will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). New England will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Chargers: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

New England has currently - 3-4, has a chance of playoffs (26%), has a small chance of win division (7%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.7%), has a very small chance of win league (0.7%).

LA Chargers has currently - 4-2, has a good chance of playoffs (81%), has a good chance of win division (56%), has a chance of 1st-round bye (16%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

New England could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

New England will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches New England won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 55-130.

Including matches at home between the teams New England won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-68.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Chargers
NFL
17.10.21	Baltimore Ravens - Los Angeles Chargers	34:6 ✺
10.10.21	Los Angeles Chargers - Cleveland Browns	47:42 ✺
04.10.21	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	28:14 ✺
26.09.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Chargers	24:30 ✺
19.09.21	Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys	17:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWL
- New England Patriots
NFL
24.10.21	New England Patriots - New York Jets	54:13 ✺
17.10.21	New England Patriots - Dallas Cowboys	29:35 OT ✺
10.10.21	Houston Texans - New England Patriots	22:25 ✺
03.10.21	New England Patriots - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17:19 ✺
26.09.21	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	13:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
06.12.20	Los Angeles Chargers - New England Patriots	0:45
13.01.19	New England Patriots - Los Angeles Chargers	41:28
29.10.17	New England Patriots - Los Angeles Chargers	21:13
07.12.14	Los Angeles Chargers - New England Patriots	14:23

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