Match Info

Date: 25 November 2021, Thursday


	New Orleans Saints		Buffalo Bills

	1	2
	3.35	1.34	Watch
	3.4	1.33
	3.45	1.35
	3.2	1.36
	3.25	1.39
	3.4	1.36
	3.4	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.52)	1.35 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Orleans Saints
28.8%

Buffalo Bills
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Orleans Saints's form might have worsened.

Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Bills's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Orleans Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Bills, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

New Orleans Saints - Buffalo Bills Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. New Orleans will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Buffalo will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Orleans: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:27

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 5).

Buffalo has currently - 6-4, has a good chance of playoffs (74%), has a good chance of win division (51%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (4%).

New Orleans has currently - 5-5, has a chance of playoffs (33%), has a small chance of win division (8%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match New Orleans is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Buffalo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 82-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Buffalo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 35-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Orleans Saints
NFL
21.11.21	Philadelphia Eagles - New Orleans Saints	40:29 ✺
14.11.21	Tennessee Titans - New Orleans Saints	23:21 ✺
07.11.21	New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons	25:27 ✺
31.10.21	New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	36:27 ✺
25.10.21	Seattle Seahawks - New Orleans Saints	10:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW
- Buffalo Bills
NFL
21.11.21	Buffalo Bills - Indianapolis Colts	15:41 ✺
14.11.21	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	17:45 ✺
07.11.21	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	9:6 ✺
31.10.21	Buffalo Bills - Miami Dolphins	26:11 ✺
18.10.21	Tennessee Titans - Buffalo Bills	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
12.11.17	Buffalo Bills - New Orleans Saints	10:47
27.10.13	New Orleans Saints - Buffalo Bills	35:17

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