Match Info

NFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	DAZN, Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 10, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, RTL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9, DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Jacksonville Jaguars		Buffalo Bills

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.76	2.01	Watch
	1.76	2.04	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.79	2.03
	1.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville Jaguars
52.7%

Buffalo Bills
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Buffalo Bills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	0%	59.1%

Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Jacksonville will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Buffalo will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacksonville (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Buffalo (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1Q - Jacksonville (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2, OT - Buffalo (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 52, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacksonville (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Buffalo (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
12:06, Prater M. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
00:46, Thomas Jr. B. (Touchdown),
00:46, Little C. (Extra Point),
09:23, Allen J. (Touchdown),
09:23, Prater M. (Extra Point),
14:59, Little C. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 3)
06:44, Prater M. (Field Goal),
09:08, Little C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (14 - 14)
02:05, Washington P. (Touchdown),
02:05, Little C. (Extra Point),
06:04, Kincaid D. (Touchdown),
06:04, Prater M. (Extra Point),
10:57, Etienne T. (Touchdown),
10:57, Little C. (Extra Point),
13:56, Allen J. (Touchdown),
13:56, Prater M. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jacksonville won 3.

Jacksonville is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Buffalo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jacksonville won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 168:220. (average 18.7:24.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jacksonville won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:67. (average 18.3:16.8).

Outrights of NFL for now

Buffalo Bills: 10.45% Jacksonville Jaguars: 5.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
04.01.26	Jacksonville Jaguars - Tennessee Titans	41:7 ✺
28.12.25	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	17:23 ✺
21.12.25	Denver Broncos - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:34 ✺
14.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - New York Jets	48:20 ✺
07.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	36:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Buffalo Bills
NFL
04.01.26	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	35:8 ✺
28.12.25	Buffalo Bills - Philadelphia Eagles	12:13 ✺
21.12.25	Cleveland Browns - Buffalo Bills	20:23 ✺
14.12.25	New England Patriots - Buffalo Bills	31:35 ✺
07.12.25	Buffalo Bills - Cincinnati Bengals	39:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
23.09.24	Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars	47:10
08.10.23	Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:25
07.11.21	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	9:6
25.11.18	Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars	24:21
07.01.18	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	10:3
27.11.16	Buffalo Bills - Jacksonville Jaguars	28:21
25.10.15	Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills	34:31

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