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Current Win Probability
New York Jets 72.9%
Chicago Bears 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Jets's performance.
Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Jets than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Jets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.4%
0%
15.6%
New York Jets - Chicago Bears Predictions
Users Predictions:
New York Jets will win
(27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:16
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
NY Jets has currently - 6-4, has a chance of playoffs (44%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).
Chicago has currently - 3-8, has a very small chance of playoffs (0.2%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.
This event has small quality13, importance37, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches NY Jets is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chicago is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
NY Jets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match NY Jets is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches NY Jets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-51.
Including matches at home between the teams NY Jets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-27.