Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	RTL
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Philadelphia Eagles		Buffalo Bills

	1	2
	1.69	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.68	2.24	Watch
	1.68	2.33
	1.68	2.3
	1.69	2.25
	1.71	2.17
	1.65	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.52)	2.24 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Eagles
57.2%

Buffalo Bills
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Eagles's form might have worsened.

Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Bills's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Bills, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Philadelphia Eagles - Buffalo Bills Predictions

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Eagles will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 and 8).

Philadelphia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Buffalo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Philadelphia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Philadelphia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Philadelphia to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 74-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Philadelphia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 43-36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Eagles
NFL
20.11.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Philadelphia Eagles	17:21 ✺
05.11.23	Philadelphia Eagles - Dallas Cowboys	28:23 ✺
29.10.23	Washington Commanders - Philadelphia Eagles	31:38 ✺
22.10.23	Philadelphia Eagles - Miami Dolphins	31:17 ✺
15.10.23	New York Jets - Philadelphia Eagles	20:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- Buffalo Bills
NFL
19.11.23	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	32:6 ✺
13.11.23	Buffalo Bills - Denver Broncos	22:24 ✺
05.11.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Buffalo Bills	24:18 ✺
26.10.23	Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	24:18 ✺
22.10.23	New England Patriots - Buffalo Bills	29:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.10.19	Buffalo Bills - Philadelphia Eagles	13:31
17.08.17	Philadelphia Eagles - Buffalo Bills	20:16
13.12.15	Philadelphia Eagles - Buffalo Bills	23:20

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