Match Info

NCAA

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Southern Methodist Mustangs		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.01	19
	1.01	14
			Watch
	1.01	12
	1.01	19	Watch
	1.01	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	17 ↓ (26)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-32)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Methodist Mustangs
94.4%

Missouri State Bears
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

96.3%

3.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Methodist Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Missouri State Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Southern Methodist Mustangs - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:14

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 10)
13', (Field Goal),
15', (Touchdown),
15', (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 0)
05', (Touchdown),
05', (Extra Point),
15', (Touchdown),
15', (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
07', (Touchdown),
07', (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (13 - 14)
03', (Touchdown),
03', (Two-Point Conversion),
10', (Touchdown),
10', (Extra Point),
11', (Touchdown),
13', (Touchdown),

Preview

In this match, Southern Methodist enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Southern Methodist has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:10.

Outrights of NCAA College Football for now

Southern Methodist: 0.07%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Methodist Mustangs football
NCAA College Football
19.09.26	Louisville Cardinals - Southern Methodist Mustangs	41:31 ✺
12.09.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	56:10 ✺
07.09.26	Florida State Seminoles - Southern Methodist Mustangs	24:27 ✺
02.01.26	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Arizona Wildcats	24:19 ✺
29.11.25	California Golden Bears - Southern Methodist Mustangs	38:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL
- Missouri State Bears football
NCAA College Football
19.09.26	Missouri State Bears - Marshall Thundering Herd	24:30 ✺
12.09.26	Missouri State Bears - Lindenwood Lions	48:14 ✺
05.09.26	Texas A&M Aggies - Missouri State Bears	50:0 ✺
18.12.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Missouri State Bears	34:28 ✺
29.11.25	Missouri State Bears - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	30:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
13.09.25	Missouri State Bears - Southern Methodist Mustangs	10:28

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