Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)


	Atlanta Falcons		San Francisco 49ers

	1	2
	2.75	1.47	Watch
	2.8	1.45
	2.8	1.49
	2.75	1.46
	2.74	1.51
	2.8	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.57
	2.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.31)	1.48 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Falcons
35.4%

San Francisco 49ers
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Falcons's performance.

San Francisco 49ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Francisco 49ers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Francisco 49ers than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Atlanta Falcons - San Francisco 49ers Predictions

Users Predictions: San Francisco 49ers will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:26

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5).

Atlanta has a small chance of recordsim. record (7-10), has currently - 2-3, has a small chance of playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of win division (4%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (<0.1%).

San Francisco has a small chance of recordsim. record (11-6), has currently - 3-2, has a good chance of playoffs (82%), has a good chance of win division (69%), has a small chance of 1st-round bye (7%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 41, importance 38, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Francisco will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 147-145.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 65-41.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
09.10.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	21:15 ✺
02.10.22	Atlanta Falcons - Cleveland Browns	23:20 ✺
25.09.22	Seattle Seahawks - Atlanta Falcons	23:27 ✺
18.09.22	Los Angeles Rams - Atlanta Falcons	31:27 ✺
11.09.22	Atlanta Falcons - New Orleans Saints	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLL
- San Francisco 49ers
NFL
09.10.22	Carolina Panthers - San Francisco 49ers	15:37 ✺
03.10.22	San Francisco 49ers - Los Angeles Rams	24:9 ✺
25.09.22	Denver Broncos - San Francisco 49ers	11:10 ✺
18.09.22	San Francisco 49ers - Seattle Seahawks	27:7 ✺
11.09.22	Chicago Bears - San Francisco 49ers	19:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
19.12.21	San Francisco 49ers - Atlanta Falcons	31:13
15.12.19	San Francisco 49ers - Atlanta Falcons	22:29
18.12.16	Atlanta Falcons - San Francisco 49ers	41:13
08.11.15	San Francisco 49ers - Atlanta Falcons	17:16
23.12.13	San Francisco 49ers - Atlanta Falcons	34:24
20.01.13	Atlanta Falcons - San Francisco 49ers	24:28

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