Match Info
NCAADate: 11 October 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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UNLV Rebels |
|
Air Force Falcons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.38 |
|
3.1 |
|
 |
1.36 |
|
3.03 |
|
 |
1.38 |
|
3.22 |
|
 |
1.37 |
|
2.91 |
 Watch |
 |
1.39 |
|
3.1 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.47) |
|
3.07 ↑
(2.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 65.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UNLV Rebels
69.1% | Air Force Falcons
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNLV Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNLV Rebels's performance.Air Force Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Air Force Falcons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNLV Rebels that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Air Force Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:30 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (7 - 7)
- 10:50, Colandrea A. (Touchdown),
- 10:50, Villela R. (Extra Point),
- 13:10, Harris C. (Touchdown),
- 13:10, Medina J. (Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (6 - 14)
- 01:27, Villela R. (Field Goal),
- 04:43, Allen O. (Touchdown),
- 04:43, Medina J. (Extra Point),
- 10:34, Allen O. (Touchdown),
- 10:34, Medina J. (Extra Point),
- 14:10, Villela R. (Field Goal),
- 3rd Quarter (16 - 7)
- 00:11, Gumms V. (Touchdown),
- 00:11, Villela R. (Extra Point),
- 01:55, Reynolds D. (Touchdown),
- 04:52, Fleischmann B. (Touchdown),
- 04:52, Medina J. (Extra Point),
- 09:35, Villela R. (Field Goal),
- 4th Quarter (22 - 20)
- 00:40, Szarka L. (Touchdown),
- 02:48, Colandrea A. (Touchdown),
- 03:34, Lee K. (Two-Point Conversion),
- 08:51, Harris C. (Touchdown),
- 08:51, Medina J. (Extra Point),
- 10:05, JaiDen T. (Touchdown),
- 10:05, Villela R. (Extra Point),
- 13:47, Szarka L. (Touchdown),
- 13:47, Medina J. (Extra Point),
- 14:24, Colandrea A. (Touchdown),
- 14:24, Villela R. (Extra Point),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 1.UNLV is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Air Force's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).UNLV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, UNLV is the team to beat.We predict that UNLV will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 217:296. (average 24.1:32.9).Including home matches between the teams, UNLV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 101:166. (average 25.3:41.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Football | | | 18.11.23 | Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels | 27:31 | | 15.10.22 | UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons | 7:42 | | 26.11.21 | Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels | 48:14 | | 19.10.18 | UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons | 35:41 | | 14.10.17 | Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels | 34:30 | | 08.11.14 | UNLV Rebels - Air Force Falcons | 21:48 | | 21.11.13 | Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels | 21:41 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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