Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: FedEx Field (Landover)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Washington Commanders		Green Bay Packers

	1	2
	2.75	1.47	Watch
	2.8	1.45
	2.8	1.48
	2.7	1.47
	2.73	1.52
	2.8	1.48	Watch
	2.64	1.5
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.06)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (KTXL-TV ‚Äì Sacramento, CA)

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Current Win Probability

Washington Commanders
35.2%

Green Bay Packers
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Green Bay Packers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Bay Packers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	0%	82.9%

Washington Commanders - Green Bay Packers Predictions

Users Predictions: Green Bay Packers will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:23

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).

Washington has a small chance of recordsim. record (6-11), has currently - 2-4, has a small chance of playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of win division (<0.1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (<0.1%).

Green Bay has a small chance of recordsim. record (8-9), has currently - 3-3, has a chance of playoffs (42%), has a small chance of win division (14%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 25, importance 58, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Washington won 2.

Washington is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Green Bay is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Green Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Green Bay have a series of home games.

Green Bay will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Washington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 153-179.

Including matches at home between the teams Washington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 108-97.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Commanders
NFL
13.10.22	Chicago Bears - Washington Commanders	7:12 ✺
09.10.22	Washington Commanders - Tennessee Titans	17:21 ✺
02.10.22	Dallas Cowboys - Washington Commanders	25:10 ✺
25.09.22	Washington Commanders - Philadelphia Eagles	8:24 ✺
18.09.22	Detroit Lions - Washington Commanders	36:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Green Bay Packers
NFL
16.10.22	Green Bay Packers - New York Jets	10:27 ✺
09.10.22	Green Bay Packers - New York Giants	22:27 ✺
02.10.22	Green Bay Packers - New England Patriots	27:24 OT ✺
25.09.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Green Bay Packers	12:14 ✺
18.09.22	Green Bay Packers - Chicago Bears	27:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
24.10.21	Green Bay Packers - Washington Commanders	24:10
08.12.19	Green Bay Packers - Washington Commanders	20:15
23.09.18	Washington Commanders - Green Bay Packers	31:17
19.08.17	Washington Commanders - Green Bay Packers	17:21
20.11.16	Washington Commanders - Green Bay Packers	42:24
10.01.16	Washington Commanders - Green Bay Packers	18:35
15.09.13	Green Bay Packers - Washington Commanders	38:20

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