Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Washington Commanders		New Orleans Saints

	1	2
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.7
	2.23	1.71
	2.14	1.71
	2.2	1.76
	2.2	1.71
	2.24	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.08)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Commanders
43.8%

New Orleans Saints
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

New Orleans Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Washington Commanders - New Orleans Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: New Orleans Saints will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:24

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7).

New Orleans has currently - 2-2, has a chance of playoffs (48%), has a small chance of win division (14%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (3%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Washington has currently - 2-2, has a chance of playoffs (25%), has a chance of win division (16%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.7%), has a very small chance of win league (0.9%).

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 137-123.

Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 47-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Commanders
NFL
03.10.21	Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders	30:34 ✺
26.09.21	Buffalo Bills - Washington Commanders	43:21 ✺
16.09.21	Washington Commanders - New York Giants	30:29 ✺
12.09.21	Washington Commanders - Los Angeles Chargers	16:20 ✺
28.08.21	Washington Commanders - Baltimore Ravens	3:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL
- New Orleans Saints
NFL
03.10.21	New Orleans Saints - New York Giants	21:27 OT ✺
26.09.21	New England Patriots - New Orleans Saints	13:28 ✺
19.09.21	Carolina Panthers - New Orleans Saints	26:7 ✺
12.09.21	New Orleans Saints - Green Bay Packers	38:3 ✺
28.08.21	New Orleans Saints - Arizona Cardinals	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

NFL
08.10.18	New Orleans Saints - Washington Commanders	43:19
19.11.17	New Orleans Saints - Washington Commanders	34:31 OT
15.11.15	Washington Commanders - New Orleans Saints	47:14
09.09.12	New Orleans Saints - Washington Commanders	32:40

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