Match Info

AFL Women - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Norwood Oval (Norwood)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 3


	Adelaide Crows		Brisbane Lions

	1	2
	1.58	2.4
	1.55	2.3
	1.67	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 81.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
58.8%

Brisbane Lions
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 44:38

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (12 - 6)
2nd Quarter (13 - 14)
3rd Quarter (13 - 1)
4th Quarter (0 - 20)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 0.

Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 404:472. (average 31.1:36.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 145:150. (average 29:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
29.08.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Adelaide Crows	22:54 ✺
24.08.25	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	65:27 ✺
17.08.25	St Kilda Saints - Adelaide Crows	41:19 ✺
23.11.24	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	50:32 ✺
15.11.24	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	49:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW
- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
31.08.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	44:58 ✺
23.08.25	Fremantle Dockers - Brisbane Lions	35:105 ✺
16.08.25	Brisbane Lions - Hawthorn Hawks	29:33 ✺
30.11.24	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	39:9 ✺
23.11.24	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	50:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
23.11.24	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	50:32
29.09.24	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	35:33
10.11.23	Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions	37:39
21.10.23	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	42:39
18.11.22	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	46:23
14.10.22	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	53:31
08.01.22	Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions	39:9

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	✺
- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺

Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide