Match Info

AFL Women - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Norwood Oval (Norwood)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	Discovery+


	Adelaide Crows		Port Adelaide Power

	1	2
	1.45	2.75
	1.45	2.45
			Watch
	1.48	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.38)	2.6 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 85.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
64%

Port Adelaide Power
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Crows's form might have worsened.

Port Adelaide Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Adelaide Power's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Crows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Adelaide Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 49:38

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (21 - 12)
2nd Quarter (3 - 26)
3rd Quarter (1 - 10)
4th Quarter (20 - 4)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 170:66. (average 56.7:22).

Including home match between the teams, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 58:28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
18.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	71:31 ✺
10.10.25	Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles	48:31 ✺
04.10.25	Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows	58:47 ✺
28.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans	41:39 ✺
21.09.25	Gold Coast Suns - Adelaide Crows	34:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW
- Port Adelaide Power Women
AFL Women
17.10.25	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	94:59 ✺
11.10.25	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	62:33 ✺
04.10.25	Port Adelaide Power - Western Bulldogs	54:35 ✺
27.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power	53:42 ✺
19.09.25	Port Adelaide Power - Geelong Cats	40:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
31.08.24	Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows	35:49
02.09.23	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	58:28
30.09.22	Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows	3:63

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