Match Info

AFL Women - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Unley Oval (Unley)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3


	Adelaide Crows		Sydney Swans

	1	X	2
	1.8		2.02
	1.65	50.00	2.15
				Watch
	1.85		1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.92)	16.67	2.03 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 95.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Crows
50.6%

Draw
5.4%

Sydney Swans
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney Swans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 50:47

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (26 - 19)
2nd Quarter (17 - 9)
3rd Quarter (10 - 13)
4th Quarter (0 - 20)

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 123:54. (average 61.5:27).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 123:54. (average 61.5:27).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
7	Sydney Swans W	10	7	0	3	491:435	112.87	28
9	Adelaide Crows W	10	5	0	5	470:459	102.40	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
14.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows	60:49 ✺
08.11.25	Adelaide Crows - St Kilda Saints	60:16 ✺
02.11.25	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	29:17 ✺
24.10.25	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	45:52 ✺
18.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	71:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Sydney Swans Women
AFL Women
01.11.25	Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers	11:14 ✺
24.10.25	Sydney Swans - West Coast Eagles	43:26 ✺
17.10.25	Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans	65:21 ✺
11.10.25	Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues	76:37 ✺
04.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Sydney Swans	88:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
28.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans	41:39
18.11.23	Adelaide Crows - Sydney Swans	82:15

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