Match Info

AFL Women - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Brighton Homes Arena (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3


	Brisbane Lions		Greater Western Sydney Giants

	1	X	2
	1.07		8.5
	1.11	100.00	5.80
	1.07		8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.09)	33.33 ↓ (100)	7.5 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 95.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brisbane Lions
85%

Draw
2.8%

Greater Western Sydney Giants
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.9%

0.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 49:49

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (16 - 2)
2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
3rd Quarter (8 - 8)
4th Quarter (21 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 5.

In this match, Brisbane is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 309:120. (average 51.5:20).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 123:59. (average 41:19.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
14	Brisbane Lions W	10	3	0	7	394:439	89.75	12
15	GWS Giants W	10	2	0	8	403:591	68.19	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
29.08.26	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	89:33 ✺
22.08.26	Brisbane Lions - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:44 ✺
15.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions	37:85 ✺
29.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	56:16 ✺
22.11.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	67:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Greater Western Sydney Giants Women
AFL Women
29.08.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Port Adelaide Power	48:52 ✺
23.08.26	Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants	60:12 ✺
16.08.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - West Coast Eagles	54:42 ✺
31.10.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Port Adelaide Power	24:81 ✺
26.10.25	Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants	81:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
04.09.22	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions	20:67
05.03.21	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions	17:55
01.03.20	Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants	51:23
03.02.19	Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants	29:27
16.03.18	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions	24:64
25.02.17	Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants	43:9

Upcoming Matches