Match Info

AFL Women - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Windy Hill (Essendon)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2


	Essendon Bombers		Brisbane Lions

	1	X	2
	7.5		1.09
	6.50	75.00	1.08
				Watch
	7.6		1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.2 ↑ (7)	25 ↓ (75)	1.08 (1.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 93.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essendon Bombers
12.6%

Draw
3.6%

Brisbane Lions
83.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.2%

1.2%

85.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:60

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 32)
2nd Quarter (6 - 22)
3rd Quarter (18 - 15)
4th Quarter (13 - 16)

Preview

In this match, Brisbane is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:116. (average 17:58).

Including home match between the teams, Essendon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:54.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
14	Brisbane Lions W	10	3	0	7	394:439	89.75	12
17	Essendon Bombers W	10	1	0	9	328:590	55.59	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
01.11.25	Sydney Swans - Essendon Bombers	11:14 ✺
25.10.25	Essendon Bombers - Hawthorn Hawks	26:56 ✺
18.10.25	Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions	16:54 ✺
10.10.25	Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers	67:10 ✺
03.10.25	Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers	36:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLLL
- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
29.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	56:16 ✺
22.11.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	67:32 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	43:56 ✺
01.11.25	Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions	32:52 ✺
25.10.25	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	45:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
18.10.25	Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions	16:54
01.10.22	Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers	62:18

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