Match Info

AFL Women - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Casey Fields (Cranbourne East)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4


	Melbourne Demons		Brisbane Lions

	1	X	2
	1.8		2.02
	1.68		2
	1.72		2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	↓	2.03 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 90.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Demons
54%

Brisbane Lions
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

1.8%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:46

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (19 - 9)
2nd Quarter (13 - 1)
3rd Quarter (36 - 4)
4th Quarter (21 - 19)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 1.

Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 368:390. (average 33.5:35.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 190:224. (average 31.7:37.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
3	Melbourne Demons W	10	8	0	2	631:356	177.25	32
14	Brisbane Lions W	10	3	0	7	394:439	89.75	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
23.08.26	Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants	60:12 ✺
13.08.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons	41:60 ✺
21.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	46:36 ✺
14.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows	60:49 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	43:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
22.08.26	Brisbane Lions - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:44 ✺
15.08.26	Essendon Bombers - Brisbane Lions	37:85 ✺
29.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions	56:16 ✺
22.11.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	67:32 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	43:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
08.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	43:56
25.10.25	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	45:36
06.09.24	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	15:33
04.11.23	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	53:28
26.11.22	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	15:19
18.09.22	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	27:42
01.04.22	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	33:29

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