Match Info
Date: 3 July 2026, Friday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Central District |
|
Adelaide |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
|
1.75 |
|
 |
2 |
|
1.7 |
|
 |
2.05 |
|
1.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.03) |
↓
|
1.73 ↓
(1.74) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 152.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Central District
46.2% | Adelaide
53.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Central District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central District than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central District that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Central District - Adelaide Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:78 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (16 - 14)
- 2nd Quarter (13 - 39)
- 3rd Quarter (7 - 31)
- 4th Quarter (20 - 22)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central District won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Adelaide has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central District won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1387:1608. (average 69.4:80.4).Including home matches between the teams, Central District won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1334:1483. (average 70.2:78.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| SANFL | | | 18.04.26 | Central District - Adelaide | 74:83 | | 16.08.25 | Central District - Adelaide | 61:60 | | 13.06.25 | Central District - Adelaide | 33:78 | | 06.07.24 | Central District - Adelaide | 39:75 | | 13.04.24 | Central District - Adelaide | 97:42 | | 08.07.23 | Central District - Adelaide | 36:104 | | 21.04.23 | Central District - Adelaide | 85:81 |
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