Match Info
SANFL - Round 16Date: 1 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Hickinbotham Oval (Noarlunga Downs)
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South Adelaide |
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Adelaide |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.5 |
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1.5 |
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 |
2.5 |
|
1.45 |
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 |
2.6 |
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1.48 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.55) |
↓
|
1.48
(1.48) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Adelaide
36.8% | Adelaide
63.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:South Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Adelaide than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Adelaide that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide than the current prediction. (+26.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.South Adelaide - Adelaide Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:88 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (34 - 7)
- 2nd Quarter (13 - 33)
- 3rd Quarter (32 - 13)
- 4th Quarter (24 - 32)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Adelaide won 1.Recent form of South Adelaide has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Adelaide has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Adelaide has had a series of away games. Adelaide could have a small edge in this match. We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1527:1588. (average 76.4:79.4).Including home matches between the teams, South Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1527:1588. (average 76.4:79.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| SANFL | | | 06.06.26 | South Adelaide - Adelaide | 66:110 | | 09.08.25 | South Adelaide - Adelaide | 56:83 | | 07.06.25 | South Adelaide - Adelaide | 50:51 | | 07.06.24 | South Adelaide - Adelaide | 62:55 | | 28.03.24 | South Adelaide - Adelaide | 91:96 | | 24.06.23 | South Adelaide - Adelaide | 41:78 | | 29.04.23 | South Adelaide - Adelaide | 50:134 |
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