Match Info

SANFL - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Glenelg Oval (Adelaide)


	Glenelg		Adelaide

	1	X	2
	1.52		2.45
	1.65	100.00	2.15
	1.67	80.00	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	60 ↓ (80)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenelg
57.4%

Draw
1.5%

Adelaide
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

1.2%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

1.2%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenelg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenelg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Glenelg - Adelaide Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:70

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (1 - 13)
2nd Quarter (28 - 22)
3rd Quarter (17 - 8)
4th Quarter (15 - 15)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenelg won 2.

Glenelg is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Adelaide's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Adelaide has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Glenelg will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenelg won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1907:1601. (average 95.4:80.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Glenelg won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1907:1601. (average 95.4:80.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenelg FC
SANFL
04.07.26	Norwood - Glenelg	56:64 ✺
27.06.26	Glenelg - Sturt	77:66 ✺
20.06.26	Central District - Glenelg	64:71 ✺
06.06.26	Glenelg - Port Adelaide	111:62 ✺
31.05.26	North Adelaide - Glenelg	41:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Adelaide FC
SANFL
03.07.26	Central District - Adelaide	56:106 ✺
27.06.26	Port Adelaide - Adelaide	77:129 ✺
21.06.26	Norwood - Adelaide	121:55 ✺
13.06.26	North Adelaide - Adelaide	80:79 ✺
06.06.26	South Adelaide - Adelaide	66:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

SANFL
23.05.26	Glenelg - Adelaide	74:81
31.08.25	Glenelg - Adelaide	74:73
12.07.25	Glenelg - Adelaide	111:83
18.04.25	Glenelg - Adelaide	94:98
29.06.24	Glenelg - Adelaide	57:96
20.04.24	Glenelg - Adelaide	106:68
10.09.23	Glenelg - Adelaide	104:72

Glenelg - Adelaide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide