Match Info
VFL - Round 20Date: 9 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Barry Plant Park (Coburg)
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 |
|
 |
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Coburg |
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Port Melbourne |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.68 |
|
2.04 |
|
 |
1.57 |
|
2.3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.68) |
|
2.17 ↑
(2.04) |
|
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Coburg
57.2% | Port Melbourne
42.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Coburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Port Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (+22%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Melbourne than the current prediction. (-22%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Melbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (33 - 19)
- 2nd Quarter (15 - 19)
- 3rd Quarter (17 - 20)
- 4th Quarter (25 - 14)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coburg won 3.In recent matches, Coburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Port Melbourne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Port Melbourne has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Coburg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 971:1289. (average 69.4:92.1).Including home matches between the teams, Coburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 349:441. (average 69.8:88.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VFL | | | 21.06.25 | Port Melbourne - Coburg | 67:77 | | 21.07.24 | Coburg - Port Melbourne | 75:70 | | 10.05.24 | Port Melbourne - Coburg | 94:62 | | 28.07.23 | Port Melbourne - Coburg | 80:70 | | 01.04.22 | Coburg - Port Melbourne | 64:62 | | 15.05.21 | Port Melbourne - Coburg | 53:89 | | 27.07.19 | Port Melbourne - Coburg | 119:51 |
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