Match Info
SANFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 30 August 2026, SundayLocation: Glenelg Oval (Adelaide)
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 |
|
 |
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Glenelg |
|
Sturt |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.8 |
|
1.95 |
|
 |
1.78 |
|
1.9 |
|
 |
1.81 |
|
1.97 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.78) |
↓
|
1.94 ↓
(1.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 149.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
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Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Glenelg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Sturt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenelg than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Glenelg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt than the current prediction. (+19.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Glenelg - Sturt Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:74 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (21 - 8)
- 2nd Quarter (15 - 15)
- 3rd Quarter (10 - 44)
- 4th Quarter (38 - 19)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenelg won 2.Glenelg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Sturt is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.We predict that Glenelg will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenelg won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1553:1420. (average 77.7:71).Including home matches between the teams, Glenelg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 739:561. (average 82.1:62.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| SANFL | | | 27.06.26 | Glenelg - Sturt | 77:66 | | 25.04.26 | Sturt - Glenelg | 65:82 | | 21.09.25 | Sturt - Glenelg | 105:74 | | 07.09.25 | Sturt - Glenelg | 102:60 | | 22.06.25 | Glenelg - Sturt | 67:87 | | 04.05.25 | Sturt - Glenelg | 73:65 | | 07.09.24 | Sturt - Glenelg | 58:89 |
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