Match Info

SANFL - Round 16

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: X Convenience Oval (Elizabeth)


	Central District		Sturt

	1	X	2
	2.55	100.00	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 (2.55)	100 (100)	1.48 (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central District
36.4%

Draw
0.9%

Sturt
62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

0.8%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Central District have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sturt have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central District than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Central District - Sturt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:81

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (9 - 7)
2nd Quarter (13 - 22)
3rd Quarter (3 - 43)
4th Quarter (10 - 13)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central District won 1.

Central District has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sturt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sturt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sturt will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central District won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1075:1657. (average 53.8:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Central District won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 389:538. (average 48.6:67.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central District FC
SANFL
19.07.26	Norwood - Central District	97:84 ✺
11.07.26	Central District - South Adelaide	86:20 ✺
03.07.26	Central District - Adelaide	56:106 ✺
27.06.26	North Adelaide - Central District	55:76 ✺
20.06.26	Central District - Glenelg	64:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL
- Sturt FC
SANFL
19.07.26	Sturt - North Adelaide	87:72 ✺
11.07.26	Woodville-West Torrens - Sturt	34:60 ✺
04.07.26	Sturt - West Adelaide	74:70 ✺
27.06.26	Glenelg - Sturt	77:66 ✺
21.06.26	Sturt - Port Adelaide	111:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

SANFL
23.05.26	Sturt - Central District	105:31
19.07.25	Sturt - Central District	116:65
31.05.25	Central District - Sturt	30:68
01.09.24	Sturt - Central District	39:50
10.08.24	Sturt - Central District	86:52
11.05.24	Central District - Sturt	41:76
09.09.23	Sturt - Central District	89:57

Central District - Sturt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide