Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL Women

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: People First Stadium (Gold Coast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy, Seven Network
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 3


	Gold Coast Suns		Essendon Bombers

	1	2
	3.06	1.32
	3.17	1.32
	3.25	1.33
	3.23	1.34
	3.06	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.7)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 73.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Suns
29.6%

Essendon Bombers
70.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gold Coast Suns - Essendon Bombers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:43

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
2nd Quarter (14 - 9)
3rd Quarter (1 - 18)
4th Quarter (12 - 2)

Preview

Gold Coast has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Essendon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gold Coast could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Essendon will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Essendon to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gold Coast won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 39:25

Including matches at home between the teams Gold Coast won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 39:25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Suns Women
AFL Women
02.10.24	Hawthorn Hawks - Gold Coast Suns	35:22 ✺
26.09.24	Collingwood Magpies - Gold Coast Suns	27:24 ✺
20.09.24	Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats	27:96 ✺
15.09.24	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gold Coast Suns	36:36 ✺
07.09.24	Gold Coast Suns - Carlton Blues	38:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLTL
- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
02.10.24	Essendon Bombers - Sydney Swans	27:24 ✺
27.09.24	Essendon Bombers - Melbourne Demons	72:7 ✺
21.09.24	Adelaide Crows - Essendon Bombers	62:29 ✺
15.09.24	Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints	15:23 ✺
06.09.24	West Coast Eagles - Essendon Bombers	25:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
03.11.23	Gold Coast Suns - Essendon Bombers	39:25

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Suns Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	✺
- Essendon Bombers Women
AFL Women
25.10.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Essendon Bombers	✺

Gold Coast Suns - Essendon Bombers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide