Match Info

AFL Women - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: People First Stadium (Gold Coast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports 503
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4


	Gold Coast Suns		Geelong Cats

	1	X	2
	4.2		1.23
	3.3		1.28
	3.5		1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.3)	↓	1.27 ↑ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 94.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Suns
25.7%

Geelong Cats
74.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.4%

1.2%

77.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:55

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (8 - 6)
2nd Quarter (15 - 13)
3rd Quarter (3 - 20)
4th Quarter (31 - 25)

Preview

In this match, Geelong is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 118:213. (average 29.5:53.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 118:213. (average 29.5:53.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
2	Geelong Cats W	10	9	0	1	719:430	167.21	36
5	Gold Coast Suns W	10	7	0	3	493:355	138.87	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Suns Women
AFL Women
22.08.26	West Coast Eagles - Gold Coast Suns	34:69 ✺
15.08.26	Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs	14:40 ✺
01.11.25	Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns	25:39 ✺
26.10.25	Gold Coast Suns - Collingwood Magpies	24:39 ✺
19.10.25	Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs	6:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWLL
- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
22.08.26	Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints	100:15 ✺
14.08.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	100:27 ✺
01.11.25	Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons	45:59 ✺
25.10.25	Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats	26:37 ✺
17.10.25	West Coast Eagles - Geelong Cats	50:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
20.09.24	Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats	27:96
11.02.22	Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats	49:38
27.03.21	Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats	24:41
06.03.20	Gold Coast Suns - Geelong Cats	18:38

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