Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AFL WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Footy, Seven Network


	Melbourne Demons		Geelong Cats

	1	2
	1.28	3.6
	1.3	3.6
	1.22	4.1
	1.28	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)	3.73 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 78.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Demons
74.6%

Geelong Cats
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Demons's performance.

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Demons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Geelong will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Geelong: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 45:33

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Preview

Recent matches Melbourne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Geelong is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Melbourne is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melbourne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 74-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
11.11.23	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	9:50 ✺
04.11.23	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	53:28 ✺
27.10.23	Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers	61:28 ✺
21.10.23	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	37:14 ✺
15.10.23	West Coast Eagles - Melbourne Demons	12:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWW
- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
11.11.23	Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers	51:33 ✺
04.11.23	Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks	60:20 ✺
28.10.23	Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats	11:49 ✺
21.10.23	Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats	30:24 ✺
14.10.23	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	47:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
28.09.23	Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons	25:74

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons	✺
- Geelong Cats Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Geelong Cats - Fremantle Dockers	✺

Melbourne Demons - Geelong Cats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide