Match Info

AFL Women - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Casey Fields (Cranbourne East)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4


	Melbourne Demons		Port Adelaide Power

	1	X	2
	1.02		13
	1.04	75.00	8.00
	1.04		7.9
	1.05		9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.07)	18.75 ↓ (100)	9.63 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 96.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-36)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Demons
86%

Draw
4.8%

Port Adelaide Power
9.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

85.9%

0.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Melbourne Demons - Port Adelaide Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:30

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (19 - 8)
2nd Quarter (13 - 5)
3rd Quarter (22 - 2)
4th Quarter (20 - 8)

Preview

Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melbourne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:43.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
3	Melbourne Demons W	10	8	0	2	631:356	177.25	32
11	Port Adelaide W	10	4	0	6	319:405	78.77	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
06.09.26	West Coast Eagles - Melbourne Demons	44:81 ✺
29.08.26	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	89:33 ✺
23.08.26	Melbourne Demons - Greater Western Sydney Giants	60:12 ✺
13.08.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons	41:60 ✺
21.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons	46:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Port Adelaide Power Women
AFL Women
05.09.26	Port Adelaide Power - Gold Coast Suns	14:17 ✺
29.08.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Port Adelaide Power	48:52 ✺
23.08.26	Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks	33:65 ✺
16.08.26	Fremantle Dockers - Port Adelaide Power	20:41 ✺
31.10.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Port Adelaide Power	24:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
13.09.25	Port Adelaide Power - Melbourne Demons	43:41

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