Match Info

AFL Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 4


	North Melbourne Kangaroos		Melbourne Demons

	1	2
	1.04	11
	1.05	6.5
			Watch
	1.07	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.06)	8.57 ↓ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 89.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-29)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Melbourne Kangaroos
89.1%

Melbourne Demons
10.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

89.2%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Melbourne Kangaroos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 60:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (19 - 26)
2nd Quarter (11 - 6)
3rd Quarter (0 - 4)
4th Quarter (16 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 2.

North Melbourne has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Melbourne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

North Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, North Melbourne is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, North Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 301:269. (average 33.4:29.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
07.11.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Hawthorn Hawks	42:3 ✺
31.10.25	Hawthorn Hawks - North Melbourne Kangaroos	18:67 ✺
25.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - St Kilda Saints	67:21 ✺
18.10.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	71:31 ✺
11.10.25	Richmond Tigers - North Melbourne Kangaroos	14:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW
- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
14.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows	60:49 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Demons - Brisbane Lions	43:56 ✺
01.11.25	Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons	45:59 ✺
25.10.25	Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons	45:36 ✺
17.10.25	Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans	65:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
14.09.24	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	21:71
11.11.23	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	9:50
21.10.23	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	37:14
18.11.22	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	33:16
02.09.22	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	26:24
26.02.22	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	27:17
13.02.21	Melbourne Demons - North Melbourne Kangaroos	60:51

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Melbourne Kangaroos Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Adelaide Crows	✺
- Melbourne Demons Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons	✺

North Melbourne Kangaroos - Melbourne Demons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide