Match Info
SANFL - Round 13Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Port Adelaide |
|
South Adelaide |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
|
1.6 |
|
 |
2.2 |
|
1.58 |
|
 |
2.26 |
|
1.62 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.23) |
↓
|
1.6 ↓
(1.62) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 156.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Port Adelaide
41.7% | South Adelaide
58.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Port Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)South Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Adelaide than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Adelaide that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Adelaide than the current prediction. (+21.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Adelaide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Port Adelaide - South Adelaide Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:82 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (7 - 44)
- 2nd Quarter (14 - 13)
- 3rd Quarter (14 - 20)
- 4th Quarter (7 - 27)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 1.Port Adelaide has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).South Adelaide is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).South Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, South Adelaide has had a series of home games. South Adelaide might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1682:1676. (average 84.1:83.8).Including home matches between the teams, Port Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 893:855. (average 89.3:85.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| SANFL | | | 27.06.25 | South Adelaide - Port Adelaide | 65:58 | | 18.04.25 | Port Adelaide - South Adelaide | 104:83 | | 21.07.24 | Port Adelaide - South Adelaide | 80:95 | | 25.05.24 | South Adelaide - Port Adelaide | 117:44 | | 18.08.23 | South Adelaide - Port Adelaide | 97:97 | | 14.05.23 | Port Adelaide - South Adelaide | 102:74 | | 14.08.22 | South Adelaide - Port Adelaide | 69:60 |
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