Match Info

AFL Women - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Alberton Oval (Alberton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2


	Port Adelaide Power		Adelaide Crows

	1	X	2
	3.25		1.35
	2.8		1.38
	2.8		1.37
	2.95		1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)	↓	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 82.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Adelaide Power
31.8%

Adelaide Crows
68.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

1.8%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

1.3%

91%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Adelaide Power than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Adelaide Power that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Crows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:47

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 2)
2nd Quarter (13 - 3)
3rd Quarter (14 - 2)
4th Quarter (2 - 15)

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Port Adelaide (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Adelaide have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Port Adelaide could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Adelaide for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Adelaide in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Port Adelaide has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 118:215 (averaging 29.5:53.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Port Adelaide against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 38:112 goals (averaging 19:56 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
9	Adelaide Crows W	10	5	0	5	470:459	102.40	20
11	Port Adelaide W	10	4	0	6	319:405	78.77	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Adelaide Power Women
AFL Women
25.09.26	Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power	62:49 ✺
19.09.26	Port Adelaide Power - Sydney Swans	27:41 ✺
12.09.26	Melbourne Demons - Port Adelaide Power	74:23 ✺
05.09.26	Port Adelaide Power - Gold Coast Suns	14:17 ✺
29.08.26	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Port Adelaide Power	48:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Adelaide Crows Women
AFL Women
26.09.26	Adelaide Crows - Fremantle Dockers	35:60 ✺
20.09.26	Brisbane Lions - Adelaide Crows	30:39 ✺
12.09.26	Adelaide Crows - Geelong Cats	46:57 ✺
05.09.26	Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows	39:67 ✺
29.08.26	Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles	60:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
24.10.25	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	45:52
31.08.24	Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows	35:49
02.09.23	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	58:28
30.09.22	Port Adelaide Power - Adelaide Crows	3:63

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