Match Info

AFL Women - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Brighton Homes Arena (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Sports 505
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Extra


	Brisbane Lions		Richmond Tigers

	1	2
	1.02	15
	1.01	9
	1.01	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.06)	12.67 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 87.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-34)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Lions
92.6%

Richmond Tigers
7.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

90%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brisbane Lions - Richmond Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 61:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (4 - 2)
2nd Quarter (8 - 12)
3rd Quarter (28 - 6)
4th Quarter (14 - 0)

Preview

Brisbane has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Richmond is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Brisbane is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 128:92. (average 25.6:18.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:62. (average 36.5:31).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
21.09.25	Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions	22:47 ✺
14.09.25	Brisbane Lions - North Melbourne Kangaroos	36:65 ✺
06.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions	38:41 ✺
31.08.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	44:58 ✺
23.08.25	Fremantle Dockers - Brisbane Lions	35:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
21.09.25	St Kilda Saints - Richmond Tigers	43:36 ✺
13.09.25	Richmond Tigers - Geelong Cats	29:59 ✺
05.09.25	Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers	57:20 ✺
29.08.25	Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers	28:43 ✺
23.08.25	Richmond Tigers - Western Bulldogs	21:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
03.09.23	Brisbane Lions - Richmond Tigers	34:40
05.11.22	Brisbane Lions - Richmond Tigers	39:22
23.09.22	Richmond Tigers - Brisbane Lions	18:14
30.01.21	Richmond Tigers - Brisbane Lions	12:41
20.03.20	Richmond Tigers - Brisbane Lions	Canceled

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
23.10.26	St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions	✺
- Richmond Tigers Women
AFL Women
24.10.26	Gold Coast Suns - Richmond Tigers	✺

Brisbane Lions - Richmond Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide