Match Info

AFL Women - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: People First Stadium (Gold Coast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 505
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 5


	Gold Coast Suns		Brisbane Lions

	1	2
	21	1.01
	9	1.01
	15	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	15 ↑ (10.5)	1.01 ↓ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 93.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-33)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Suns
6.3%

Brisbane Lions
93.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

8.9%

91.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Suns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:64

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 19)
2nd Quarter (6 - 27)
3rd Quarter (9 - 14)
4th Quarter (0 - 23)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 0.

Gold Coast has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brisbane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gold Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brisbane is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 104:361. (average 17.3:60.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 65:170. (average 21.7:56.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Suns Women
AFL Women
25.09.25	Melbourne Demons - Gold Coast Suns	93:6 ✺
21.09.25	Gold Coast Suns - Adelaide Crows	34:50 ✺
13.09.25	Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns	71:25 ✺
05.09.25	Gold Coast Suns - Greater Western Sydney Giants	52:33 ✺
30.08.25	Port Adelaide Power - Gold Coast Suns	108:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL
- Brisbane Lions Women
AFL Women
28.09.25	Brisbane Lions - Richmond Tigers	54:20 ✺
21.09.25	Western Bulldogs - Brisbane Lions	22:47 ✺
14.09.25	Brisbane Lions - North Melbourne Kangaroos	36:65 ✺
06.09.25	Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions	38:41 ✺
31.08.25	Brisbane Lions - Carlton Blues	44:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

AFL Women
12.10.24	Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns	44:28
14.10.23	Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions	21:57
10.09.22	Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns	82:9
17.02.22	Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions	16:85
06.02.21	Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns	65:2
22.02.20	Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions	28:28

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