Match Info
SANFL - Round 14Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Hisense Stadium (Adelaide)
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 |
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West Adelaide |
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Norwood |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.8 |
|
1.4 |
|
 |
2.7 |
|
1.4 |
|
 |
2.8 |
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1.42 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(2.78) |
↓
|
1.41
(1.41) |
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- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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West Adelaide
33.7% | Norwood
66.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:West Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Norwood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with West Adelaide that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwood than the current prediction. (+24.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwood could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (12 - 7)
- 2nd Quarter (19 - 15)
- 3rd Quarter (13 - 20)
- 4th Quarter (7 - 26)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 0.West Adelaide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Norwood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, West Adelaide has had a series of away games. Norwood could have a small edge in this match. We predict that Norwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 1163:1785. (average 58.2:89.3).Including home matches between the teams, West Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 565:868. (average 56.5:86.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| SANFL | | | 09.05.26 | Norwood - West Adelaide | 134:31 | | 09.08.25 | Norwood - West Adelaide | 86:85 | | 30.05.25 | West Adelaide - Norwood | 25:129 | | 07.07.24 | West Adelaide - Norwood | 41:115 | | 20.04.24 | Norwood - West Adelaide | 50:37 | | 19.08.23 | West Adelaide - Norwood | 76:76 | | 13.05.23 | Norwood - West Adelaide | 62:74 |
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