Match Info
SANFL - Round 13Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Unley Oval (Unley)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sturt |
|
West Adelaide |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.42 |
75.00 |
2.75 |
|
 |
1.42 |
80.00 |
2.80 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.43) |
77.5 ↓
(90) |
2.78 ↑
(2.73) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 154.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sturt
65.4% | Draw
1.2% | West Adelaide
33.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Sturt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)West Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (-2.4%)Sturt - West Adelaide Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:69 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (17 - 14)
- 2nd Quarter (33 - 19)
- 3rd Quarter (15 - 16)
- 4th Quarter (9 - 21)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 4.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Sturt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, West Adelaide has had a series of away games. Sturt will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1660:939. (average 83:47).Including home matches between the teams, Sturt won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 874:454. (average 87.4:45.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| SANFL | | | 03.05.26 | West Adelaide - Sturt | 65:61 | | 16.08.25 | West Adelaide - Sturt | 56:141 | | 27.04.25 | Sturt - West Adelaide | 117:41 | | 17.08.24 | West Adelaide - Sturt | 32:89 | | 29.06.24 | Sturt - West Adelaide | 70:25 | | 08.07.23 | West Adelaide - Sturt | 32:38 | | 04.06.23 | Sturt - West Adelaide | 63:59 |
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