Match Info
MLBDate: 9 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Baltimore, MD)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Baltimore Orioles |
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Chicago Cubs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.72 |
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2.05 |
 Watch |
 |
1.77 |
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2.10 |
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 |
1.77 |
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2.07 |
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 |
1.85 |
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2.11 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.82 |
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2.07 |
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 |
1.84 |
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2.10 |
Watch |
 |
1.78 |
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2.04 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.78) |
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2.08 ↓
(2.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 10.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Baltimore Orioles
53.7% | Chicago Cubs
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Chicago Cubs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Baltimore will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Chi Cubs will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baltimore: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baltimore Orioles will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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35.  Rutschman A.
| 4. Crow-Armstrong P.
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3. Ward T.
| 3. Bregman A.
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2. Henderson G.
| 27.  Suzuki S.
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25. Alonso P.
| 15. Kelly C.
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9.  O'Neill T.
| 29. Busch M.
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16. Mayo C.
| 2. Hoerner N.
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29.  Basallo S.
| 8. Happ I.
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23. Blaze A.
| 7. Swanson D.
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30. Taveras L.
| 9.  Amaya M.
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| Pitchers |
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28. Rogers T.
| 23. Peterson D.
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| Coaches |
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. Albernaz C.
| . Counsell C.
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Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 65:105. (average 3.3:5.3).Including home matches between the teams, Baltimore won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:68. (average 3.3:6.8).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 08.07.26 | Baltimore Orioles - Chicago Cubs | 7:9 | | 07.07.26 | Baltimore Orioles - Chicago Cubs | 2:5 | | 03.08.25 | Chicago Cubs - Baltimore Orioles | 5:3 | | 02.08.25 | Chicago Cubs - Baltimore Orioles | 3:4 | | 01.08.25 | Chicago Cubs - Baltimore Orioles | 1:0 | | 11.07.24 | Baltimore Orioles - Chicago Cubs | 0:8 | | 10.07.24 | Baltimore Orioles - Chicago Cubs | 0:4 |
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