Match Info

MLB

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN+, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		Atlanta Braves

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.12	1.72
	2.22	1.77
			Watch
	2.15	1.71
	2.21	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 (2.17)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
44.5%

Atlanta Braves
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlanta Braves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Braves than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	0%	67.9%

Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Atlanta will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
16. Duran J.	13. Acuna Jr. R.
3. Rafaela C.	14. Dubon M.
52. Abreu W.	28. Olson M.
40. Contreras W.	1. Albies O.
32. Monasterio A.	27. Riley A.
20. Sogard N.	23. Harris M.
2. Kiner-Falefa I.	2. Mateo J.
75. Narvaez C.	8. Smith D.
5. Durbin C.	9. Leon S.
Pitchers
70. Tolle P.	51. Sale C.
Coaches
. Tracy C.	. Weiss W.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 2.

Boston has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Atlanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Boston has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 76:98. (average 3.8:4.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 51:47. (average 5.1:4.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlanta Braves - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 55.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
27.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	8:0 ✺
26.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	6:7 ✺
24.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	5:6 ✺
23.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	2:4 ✺
22.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	6:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Atlanta Braves
MLB
27.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	8:0 ✺
26.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	6:7 ✺
24.05.26	Atlanta Braves - Washington Nationals	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Atlanta Braves - Washington Nationals	5:4 ✺
22.05.26	Atlanta Braves - Washington Nationals	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
27.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	8:0
26.05.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	6:7
17.05.26	Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox	2:3
16.05.26	Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox	3:2
15.05.26	Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox	3:2
MLB Spring Training
21.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	1:6
17.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves	4:3

Boston Red Sox - Atlanta Braves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide