Match Info

MLB

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		San Diego Padres

	1	2
	1.63	2.35	Watch
	1.63	2.27
	1.67	2.37
			Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.67	2.38	Watch
	1.68	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
58.4%

San Diego Padres
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
19. Anthony R.	5. Laureano R.
10. Story T.	23. Tatis F. Jr.
16. Duran J.	3. Merrill J.
40. Contreras W.	13. Machado M.
52. Abreu W.	41. Andujar M.
7. Yoshida M.	2. Bogaerts X.
5. Durbin C.	21. Castellanos N.
11. Mayer M.	9. Cronenworth J.
75. Narvaez C.	12. Campusano L.
Pitchers
55. Suarez R.	31. Buehler W.
Coaches
. Cora A.	. Stammen C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 2.

Boston has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Diego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 84:65. (average 4.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 3.5:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
04.04.26	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	2:3 ✺
03.04.26	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	5:2 ✺
01.04.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	6:4 ✺
31.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	9:2 ✺
30.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- San Diego Padres
MLB
04.04.26	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	2:3 ✺
03.04.26	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	5:2 ✺
01.04.26	San Diego Padres - San Francisco Giants	7:1 ✺
31.03.26	San Diego Padres - San Francisco Giants	3:9 ✺
30.03.26	San Diego Padres - San Francisco Giants	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
04.04.26	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	2:3
03.04.26	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	5:2
10.08.25	San Diego Padres - Boston Red Sox	6:2
09.08.25	San Diego Padres - Boston Red Sox	5:4
08.08.25	San Diego Padres - Boston Red Sox	2:10
30.06.24	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	4:1
29.06.24	Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres	1:11

Boston Red Sox - San Diego Padres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide