Match Info

MLB

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Boston Red Sox		Toronto Blue Jays

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.70	2.20
	1.68	2.18
	1.73	2.27
			Watch
	1.71	2.2
	1.74	2.24	Watch
	1.68	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Red Sox
56.6%

Toronto Blue Jays
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Toronto Blue Jays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5, OT - under (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
7. Yoshida M.	38. Lukes N.
3. Rafaela C.	27. Guerrero Jr. V.
52. Abreu W.	30. Kirk A.
40. Contreras W.	4. Springer G.
5. Durbin C.	5. Varsho D.
23. Gonzalez R.	7. Okamoto K.
16. Duran J.	22. Clement E.
32. Monasterio A.	0. Gimenez A.
75. Narvaez C.	36. Schneider D.
Pitchers
55. Suarez R.	34. Gausman K.
Coaches
. Tracy C.	. Schneider J.

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boston has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 86:89. (average 4.3:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:51. (average 4.3:5.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Boston Red Sox - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 55.37%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Toronto Blue Jays - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 44.63%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Red Sox
MLB
25.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	0:6 ✺
24.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	6:4 ✺
22.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles	1:5 ✺
22.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles	6:3 ✺
20.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW
- Toronto Blue Jays
MLB
25.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	0:6 ✺
24.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	6:4 ✺
23.07.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays	2:4 ✺
21.07.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays	2:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
25.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	0:6
24.07.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	6:4
18.06.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	3:4
17.06.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	0:3
16.06.26	Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays	1:6
29.04.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox	8:1
28.04.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox	3:0

Boston Red Sox - Toronto Blue Jays: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide