Match Info
MLBDate: 3 May 2026, SundayLocation: Wrigley Field (Chicago, IL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 World | MLB.TV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Chicago Cubs |
|
Arizona Diamondbacks |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 11.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chicago Cubs
58.9% | Arizona Diamondbacks
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Cubs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Chicago Cubs - Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 11.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Chi Cubs (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chicago Cubs will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chicago Cubs will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chi Cubs (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5 
#ad
Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
2.  Hoerner N.
| 4.  Marte K.
|
25.  Ballesteros M.
| 2. Perdomo G.
|
3. Bregman A.
| 7. Carroll C.
|
8. Happ I.
| 6. Vargas I.
|
27.  Suzuki S.
| 28.  Arenado N.
|
29. Busch M.
| 12.  Gurriel L.
|
15. Kelly C.
| 14. Moreno G.
|
4. Crow-Armstrong P.
| 11. Fernandez J.
|
7. Swanson D.
| 1. Barrosa J.
|
| Pitchers |
|---|
16. Boyd M.
| 29. Kelly M.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Counsell C.
| . Lovullo T.
|
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 3.Chi Cubs is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Arizona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Arizona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Arizona has had a series of away games. Chi Cubs could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 100:112. (average 5:5.6).Including home matches between the teams, Chi Cubs won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 50:42. (average 4.5:3.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 02.05.26 | Chicago Cubs - Arizona Diamondbacks | 6:5 | | 01.05.26 | Chicago Cubs - Arizona Diamondbacks | 6:5 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 18.03.26 | Arizona Diamondbacks - Chicago Cubs | 16:8 | | 05.03.26 | Chicago Cubs - Arizona Diamondbacks | 8:1 | | MLB | | | 20.04.25 | Chicago Cubs - Arizona Diamondbacks | 2:3 | | 19.04.25 | Chicago Cubs - Arizona Diamondbacks | 6:2 | | 18.04.25 | Chicago Cubs - Arizona Diamondbacks | 13:11 |
|
Watch
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
