The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Cubs 56%
New York Mets 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Cubs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
0%
36.4%
Chicago Cubs - New York Mets Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Chi Cubs will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). NY Mets will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chi Cubs: 35.2% – 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chi Cubs (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
2. Hoerner N.
3. Benge C.
29. Busch M.
19. Bichette B.
3. Bregman A.
12. Lindor F.
8. Happ I.
88. Robert L.
27. Suzuki S.
1. Melendez M.
25. Ballesteros M.
27. Vientos M.
15. Kelly C.
7. Baty B.
4. Crow-Armstrong P.
10. Semien M.
7. Swanson D.
13. Torrens L.
Pitchers
72. Assad J.
32. Myers T.
Coaches
. Counsell C.
. Mendoza C.
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 3.
Chi Cubs is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
NY Mets has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, NY Mets has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Chi Cubs will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 84:102. (average 4.2:5.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chi Cubs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 54:55. (average 5.4:5.5).