Match Info

MLB

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Wrigley Field (Chicago, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chicago Cubs		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
	1.95	1.87	Watch
	1.95	1.85
	1.98	1.95
			Watch
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.05)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Cubs
49.2%

Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Cubs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Chicago Cubs will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Lineups

Batters
2. Hoerner N.	7. Turner T.
3. Bregman A.	12. Schwarber K.
8. Happ I.	3. Harper B.
27. Suzuki S.	29. Reyes F.
29. Busch M.	16. Marsh B.
7. Swanson D.	5. Stott B.
25. Ballesteros M.	28. Bohm A.
9. Amaya M.	2. Crawford J.
4. Crow-Armstrong P.	21. Stubbs G.
Pitchers
30. Cabrera E.	61. Sanchez C.
Coaches
. Counsell C.	. Thomson R.

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 4.

Chi Cubs is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Philadelphia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Chi Cubs has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Chi Cubs will win today's game, with odds of 2.07.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chi Cubs won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 104:100. (average 5.2:5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chi Cubs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:47. (average 4.1:4.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Cubs
MLB
22.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	7:2 ✺
21.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	7:4 ✺
20.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Chicago Cubs - New York Mets	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chicago Cubs - New York Mets	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
22.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	7:2 ✺
21.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	7:4 ✺
20.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
22.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	7:2
21.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	7:4
20.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	5:1
15.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	2:11
14.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	4:10
13.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	13:7
11.06.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	7:2

Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide