Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Goodyear Ballpark (Goodyear, AZ)


	Cincinnati Reds		Chicago White Sox

	1	2
	1.74	2.15
	1.8	2.05
	1.75	2.1
	1.74	2.15
			Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.76	2.16
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	2.1 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 11.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
54.6%

Chicago White Sox
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Chicago White Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago White Sox than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Cincinnati Reds - Chicago White Sox Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chi White Sox (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Chicago White Sox will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:5

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Lineups

Batters
29. Friedl T.	10. Meidroth C.
9. McLain M.	12. Montgomery C.
44. De la Cruz E.	20. Vargas M.
43. Stewart S.	5. Murakami M.
28. Suarez E.	21. Hays A.
16. Marte N.	23. Benintendi A.
35. Trevino J.	28. Pereira E.
30. Benson W.	7. Quero E.
3. Hayes K.	0. Acuna L.
Pitchers
41. Abbott A.	. Paez J.
Coaches
. Francona T.	. Venable W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.

Cincinnati has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chi White Sox's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 76:114. (average 3.8:5.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:79. (average 3:6.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Chicago White Sox - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB Spring Training
17.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	6:8 ✺
16.03.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - Cincinnati Reds	11:6 ✺
15.03.26	Seattle Mariners - Cincinnati Reds	6:3 ✺
12.03.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Cincinnati Reds	9:5 ✺
11.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Chicago White Sox
MLB Spring Training
20.03.26	Los Angeles Angels - Chicago White Sox	4:3 ✺
17.03.26	Chicago White Sox - Athletics	6:4 ✺
16.03.26	Texas Rangers - Chicago White Sox	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Kansas City Royals - Chicago White Sox	10:4 ✺
14.03.26	Chicago White Sox - Los Angeles Dodgers	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
25.02.26	Chicago White Sox - Cincinnati Reds	2:3
MLB
15.05.25	Cincinnati Reds - Chicago White Sox	7:1
14.05.25	Cincinnati Reds - Chicago White Sox	2:4
13.05.25	Cincinnati Reds - Chicago White Sox	1:5
14.04.24	Chicago White Sox - Cincinnati Reds	4:11
13.04.24	Chicago White Sox - Cincinnati Reds	0:5
12.04.24	Chicago White Sox - Cincinnati Reds	1:11

Cincinnati Reds - Chicago White Sox: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide