Match Info
MLBDate: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Cincinnati Reds |
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Houston Astros |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.87 |
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1.95 |
 Watch |
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1.85 |
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1.95 |
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1.91 |
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2.02 |
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Watch |
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1.85 |
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1.91 |
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1.88 |
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2.05 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.8) |
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1.98 ↓
(2.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cincinnati Reds
51.4% | Houston Astros
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-2.3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Houston will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Houston Astros will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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30.  Benson W.
| 27.  Altuve J.
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7. Steer S.
| 44.  Alvarez Y.
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44.  De la Cruz E.
| 15.  Paredes I.
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27. Stewart S.
| 8. Walker C.
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22. Bleday JJ
| 11. Smith C.
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37. Stephenson T.
| 0. Matthews B.
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59. Dunn B.
| 16. Cole Z.
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9. McLain M.
| 20. Allen N.
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3. Hayes K.
| 18. Salazar C.
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| Pitchers |
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41. Abbott A.
| 17.  Teng Kai-Wei
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| Coaches |
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. Francona T.
| .  Espada J.
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Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.Cincinnati has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Houston has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 95:74. (average 4.8:3.7).Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:26. (average 3.9:3.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.22%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Houston Astros - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.78%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 09.05.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros | 3:1 | | 08.05.26 | Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros | 0:10 | | 11.05.25 | Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds | 6:0 | | 10.05.25 | Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds | 9:13 | | 09.05.25 | Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds | 3:0 | | 05.09.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros | 1:0 | | 04.09.24 | Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros | 12:5 |
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