Match Info

MLB

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	MLB.TV


	Cincinnati Reds		Houston Astros

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.91	2.02
			Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.88	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.8)	1.98 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
51.4%

Houston Astros
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Houston will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
30. Benson W.	27. Altuve J.
7. Steer S.	44. Alvarez Y.
44. De la Cruz E.	15. Paredes I.
27. Stewart S.	8. Walker C.
22. Bleday JJ	11. Smith C.
37. Stephenson T.	0. Matthews B.
59. Dunn B.	16. Cole Z.
9. McLain M.	20. Allen N.
3. Hayes K.	18. Salazar C.
Pitchers
41. Abbott A.	17. Teng Kai-Wei
Coaches
. Francona T.	. Espada J.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.

Cincinnati has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Houston has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 95:74. (average 4.8:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:26. (average 3.9:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 53.22%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Houston Astros - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.78%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
09.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	0:10 ✺
07.05.26	Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds	8:3 ✺
06.05.26	Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds	7:6 ✺
05.05.26	Chicago Cubs - Cincinnati Reds	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Houston Astros
MLB
09.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	0:10 ✺
06.05.26	Houston Astros - Los Angeles Dodgers	2:12 ✺
05.05.26	Houston Astros - Los Angeles Dodgers	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Houston Astros - Los Angeles Dodgers	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
09.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	3:1
08.05.26	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	0:10
11.05.25	Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds	6:0
10.05.25	Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds	9:13
09.05.25	Houston Astros - Cincinnati Reds	3:0
05.09.24	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	1:0
04.09.24	Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros	12:5

Cincinnati Reds - Houston Astros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide