Match Info

MLB

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Usa	NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Cincinnati Reds		New York Mets

	1	2
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.12	1.73
	2.24	1.77
			Watch
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.19	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
44.5%

New York Mets
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 60%). NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, OT - NY Mets (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Mets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6

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Lineups

Batters
2. Arroyo E.	3. Benge C.
22. Bleday JJ	19. Bichette B.
27. Stewart S.	22. Soto J.
31. Lowe N.	10. Semien M.
28. Suarez E.	27. Vientos M.
7. Steer S.	4. Alvarez F.
4. Marte N.	9. Ewing A.
35. Trevino J.	13. Torrens L.
9. McLain M.	40. Short Z.
Pitchers
40. Lodolo N.	26. McLean N.
Coaches
. Francona T.	. Mendoza C.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 92:63. (average 4.6:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:22. (average 5.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
16.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	5:3 ✺
15.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	12:0 ✺
14.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:5 ✺
13.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - Arizona Diamondbacks	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - Arizona Diamondbacks	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- New York Mets
MLB
16.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	5:3 ✺
15.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	12:0 ✺
14.06.26	New York Mets - Atlanta Braves	8:1 ✺
13.06.26	New York Mets - Atlanta Braves	1:3 ✺
12.06.26	New York Mets - Atlanta Braves	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
16.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	5:3
15.06.26	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	12:0
27.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	4:2
26.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7
25.05.26	New York Mets - Cincinnati Reds	2:7
07.09.25	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	3:2
06.09.25	Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets	6:3

Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide