Match Info

MLB

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Great American Ball Park (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Cincinnati Reds		Pittsburgh Pirates

	1	2
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.72	2.12
	1.76	2.21
			Watch
	1.74	2.18
	1.78	2.19	Watch
	1.71	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)	2.16 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Reds
55.5%

Pittsburgh Pirates
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Batters
44. De la Cruz E.	28. Mangum J.
27. Stewart S.	5. Lowe B.
22. Bleday JJ	10. Reynolds B.
37. Stephenson T.	55. Valdez E.
31. Lowe N.	2. Horwitz S.
17. Myers D.	3. Gonzales N.
4. Marte N.	13. Rodriguez E.
9. McLain M.	26. Gonzalez J.
3. Hayes K.	34. Garcia J.
Pitchers
26. Burns C.	23. Keller M.
Coaches
. Francona T.	. Kelly D.

Preview

Interrupted due to rain.

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.

Recent performances by Cincinnati have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pittsburgh is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.

Cincinnati could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 74:115. (average 3.7:5.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:38. (average 3:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 58.07%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.93%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Reds
MLB
01.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:7 ✺
30.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:2 ✺
29.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	1:6 ✺
28.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Cleveland Guardians	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW
- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
01.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:7 ✺
30.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:2 ✺
29.07.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Arizona Diamondbacks	0:3 ✺
28.07.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Arizona Diamondbacks	7:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
01.08.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	1:4
31.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:7
30.07.26	Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:2
28.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	9:4
27.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	7:9
26.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	4:6
03.05.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds	17:7

Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide