Match Info
MLBDate: 22 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Progressive Field (Cleveland, OH)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Cleveland Guardians |
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Houston Astros |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cleveland Guardians
59.6% | Houston Astros
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleveland Guardians's performance.Houston Astros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Astros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleveland Guardians that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Astros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Cleveland Guardians - Houston Astros Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Houston will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 54% – 99.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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38.  Kwan S.
| 1.  Correa C.
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24. DeLauter C.
| 44.  Alvarez Y.
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11.  Ramirez J.
| 27.  Altuve J.
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9. Manzardo K.
| 8. Walker C.
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7. Valera G.
| 15.  Paredes I.
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10. Schneemann D.
| 11. Smith C.
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34. Brito J.
| 31. Johnson D.
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23.  Naylor B.
| 2. Vazquez C.
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4.  Rocchio B.
| 0. Matthews B.
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| Pitchers |
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28. Bibee T.
| 38. Lambert P.
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| Coaches |
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. Vogt S.
| . Espada J.
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Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 4.Cleveland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Houston is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 76:89. (average 3.8:4.5).Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:44. (average 3.3:4).
Outrights of MLB for now
Cleveland Guardians: 12.39%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 21.04.26 | Cleveland Guardians - Houston Astros | 8:5 | | 20.04.26 | Cleveland Guardians - Houston Astros | 2:9 | | 09.07.25 | Houston Astros - Cleveland Guardians | 2:4 | | 08.07.25 | Houston Astros - Cleveland Guardians | 6:10 | | 07.07.25 | Houston Astros - Cleveland Guardians | 5:7 | | 08.06.25 | Cleveland Guardians - Houston Astros | 4:2 | | 07.06.25 | Cleveland Guardians - Houston Astros | 3:5 |
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