Match Info
MLBDate: 26 April 2026, SundayLocation: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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World | MLB.TV |
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Houston Astros |
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New York Yankees |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Houston Astros 44.6% | New York Yankees 55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Astros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)New York Yankees has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (-2.2%)Houston Astros - New York Yankees Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 25%). NY Yankees will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Yankees: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Yankees (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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1. Correa C.
| 12. Grisham T.
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44. Alvarez Y.
| 22. Rice B.
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15. Paredes I.
| 99. Judge A.
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8. Walker C.
| 35. Bellinger C.
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11. Smith C.
| 13. Chisholm J.
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37. Harris D.
| 48. Goldschmidt P.
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2. Vazquez C.
| 25. Escarra J. C.
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31. Johnson D.
| 19. McMahon R.
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28. Shewmake B.
| 72. Caballero J.
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| Pitchers |
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41. Arrighetti S.
| 81. Gil L.
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| Coaches |
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. Espada J.
| . Boone A.
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Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).NY Yankees is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).NY Yankees may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, NY Yankees has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. We predict that NY Yankees will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 79:121. (average 4:6.1).Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 40:74. (average 3.3:6.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 25.04.26 | Houston Astros - New York Yankees | 3:8 | | 24.04.26 | Houston Astros - New York Yankees | 4:12 | | 04.09.25 | Houston Astros - New York Yankees | 4:8 | | 03.09.25 | Houston Astros - New York Yankees | 8:7 | | 02.09.25 | Houston Astros - New York Yankees | 1:7 | | 10.08.25 | New York Yankees - Houston Astros | 1:7 | | 09.08.25 | New York Yankees - Houston Astros | 5:4 |
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