Match Info
MLBDate: 5 July 2026, SundayLocation: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | NBC Sports Bay Area, SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Houston Astros |
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Tampa Bay Rays |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.79 |
|
1.96 |
 Watch |
 |
1.83 |
|
2.00 |
|
 |
1.83 |
|
1.98 |
|
 |
1.91 |
|
2.03 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.87 |
|
2.01 |
Watch |
 |
1.9 |
|
2.02 |
Watch |
 |
1.84 |
|
1.97 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.1) |
|
2 ↑
(1.76) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Houston Astros
51.9% | Tampa Bay Rays
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Astros's performance.Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rays might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+3.3%)Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/E Runs - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1, OT - Houston (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tampa Bay Rays will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
27.  Altuve J.
| 8.  Aranda J.
|
44.  Alvarez Y.
| 13.  Caminero J.
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15. Paredes I.
| 31.  Mullins C.
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8. Walker C.
| 14. Simpson C.
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31. Wade L.
| 15. Williamson B.
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11. Smith C.
| 25. Mesa V.
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26. Trammell T.
| 1.  Palacios R.
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20. Allen N.
| 9. Feduccia H.
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2.  Vazquez C.
| 2. Diaz Y.
|
| Pitchers |
|---|
38. Lambert P.
| 59. Englert M.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Espada J.
| . Cash K.
|
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.In recent matches, Houston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Tampa Bay is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Houston has had a series of home games.Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:84. (average 3.7:4.2).Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 46:66. (average 3.8:5.5).
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Last Results with these Odds
Houston Astros - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.68%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.32%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 04.07.26 | Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays | 10:8 | | 03.07.26 | Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays | 1:3 | | 01.06.25 | Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays | 1:0 | | 31.05.25 | Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays | 3:16 | | 30.05.25 | Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays | 2:1 | | 29.05.25 | Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays | 3:13 | | 21.05.25 | Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros | 8:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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