Match Info
MLBDate: 2 July 2026, ThursdayLocation: Kauffman Stadium (Kansas City, MO)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Usa | NBC Sports Bay Area, SportsNet Pittsburgh |
World | MLB.TV |
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Kansas City Royals |
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Tampa Bay Rays |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.96 |
|
1.79 |
Watch |
 |
2.00 |
|
1.83 |
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 |
2.10 |
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1.76 |
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 |
2.10 |
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1.85 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
2.10 |
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1.80 |
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 |
2.06 |
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1.87 |
Watch |
 |
2.00 |
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1.82 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (1.96) |
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1.82 ↓ (1.91) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 10.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kansas City Royals 47% | Tampa Bay Rays 53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kansas City Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-4.3%)Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/E Runs - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1, OT - Tampa Bay (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tampa Bay Rays will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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22. Jensen C.
| 2. Diaz Y.
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7. Witt B.
| 8. Aranda J.
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14. Caglianone J.
| 13. Caminero J.
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15. Thomas L.
| 25. Mesa V.
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0. Marte S.
| 14. Simpson C.
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12. Loftin N.
| 31. Mullins C.
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19. Massey M.
| 6. Walls T.
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1. Collins I.
| 1. Palacios R.
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26. Misner K.
| 9. Feduccia H.
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| Pitchers |
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32. Kolek S.
| 61. Seymour I.
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| Coaches |
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. Quatraro M.
| . Cash K.
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Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 1.Kansas City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Tampa Bay is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 77:87. (average 3.9:4.4).Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:51. (average 2.8:5.1).
Outrights of MLB for now
Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 01.07.26 | Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays | 0:4 | | 30.06.26 | Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays | 4:10 | | 25.06.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals | 13:2 | | 24.06.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals | 5:3 | | 23.06.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals | 5:12 | | 22.06.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals | 1:2 | | 26.06.25 | Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays | 0:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;