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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Rays 63.6%
Arizona Diamondbacks 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.1%
0%
38.9%
Tampa Bay Rays - Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Arizona will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 38.6% – 83.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5, OT - Arizona (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Arizona (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
2. Diaz Y.
4. Marte K.
8. Aranda J.
2. Perdomo G.
13. Caminero J.
7. Carroll C.
25. Mesa V.
25. Del Castillo A.
14. Simpson C.
12. Gurriel L.
31. Mullins C.
26. Smith P.
15. Williamson B.
28. Arenado N.
6. Walls T.
6. Vargas I.
40. Fortes N.
9. Troy T.
Pitchers
57. Rasmussen D.
29. Kelly M.
Coaches
. Cash K.
. Lovullo T.
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
Tampa Bay is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Arizona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
Recently, Arizona has had a series of away games.
Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 98:82. (average 4.9:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:29. (average 5.4:3.2).
Outrights of MLB for now
Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 62.49%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.