The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles Dodgers 66.7%
Arizona Diamondbacks 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Dodgers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Dodgers than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Dodgers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arizona Diamondbacks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
0%
61.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers - Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. LA Dodgers will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Arizona will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arizona: 35% – 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4
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Lineups
Batters
17. Ohtani S.
4. Marte K.
44. Pages A.
2. Perdomo G.
5. Freeman F.
7. Carroll C.
50. Betts M.
14. Moreno G.
25. Edman T.
12. Gurriel L.
23. Tucker K.
6. Vargas I.
37. Hernandez T.
28. Arenado N.
13. Muncy M.
13. Tawa T.
64. Alfonzo E.
15. Waldschmidt R.
Pitchers
80. Sheehan E.
60. Bratt M.
Coaches
. Roberts D.
. Lovullo T.
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Dodgers won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Arizona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, LA Dodgers has had a series of home games.
Recently, Arizona has had a series of away games.
LA Dodgers could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LA Dodgers won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 86:81. (average 4.3:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, LA Dodgers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:53. (average 3.6:4.4).
Outrights of MLB for now
Los Angeles Dodgers: 41.56%
Last Results with these Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Arizona Diamondbacks - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.